Develop Service Line Strategies
Analyze the Competitive Landscape
Anticipate Future Patient Needs
Identify Sites To Capture Demand
Drive Loyalty Across the Patient Journey
Leverage Price Transparency Insights
Retain Patients in Your Network
Match Provider Supply to Demand
Acquire Commercial Patients
Capture Outpatient Demand
Target High-Value HCPs
Strengthen Provider Networks
We collect and organize the industry’s most comprehensive healthcare datasets.
See demand, supply and yield across the U.S. health economy
Validated Data for 2.9M Practitioners
Episodes of Care for 300M Patients
Negotiated Rates for Any Service at Any Location
Flexible solutions to fit your specific needs and workflow
Free resources to help health economy stakeholders use our products and data
Answer Key Questions in Seconds
Health Economy Survival Strategies
Custom Enterprise-Level Analyses
Product Guides and Feature Releases
Inform Data-Driven Strategies
How We Tackle Technical Problems
Data-Driven Benchmarking Tool
Strategic guidance and commentary from our CEO, Hal Andrews
Annual fact-based analysis of trends shaping the health economy
An essential resource to survive healthcare’s negative-sum game
Develop Service Line Strategies
Analyze the Competitive Landscape
Anticipate Future Patient Needs
Identify Sites To Capture Demand
Drive Loyalty Across the Patient Journey
Leverage Price Transparency Insights
Retain Patients in Your Network
Match Provider Supply to Demand
Acquire Commercial Patients
Capture Outpatient Demand
Target High-Value HCPs
Strengthen Provider Networks
We collect and organize the industry’s most comprehensive healthcare datasets.
See demand, supply and yield across the U.S. health economy
Validated Data for 2.9M Practitioners
Episodes of Care for 300M Patients
Negotiated Rates for Any Service at Any Location
Flexible solutions to fit your specific needs and workflow
Answer Key Questions in Seconds
Custom Enterprise-Level Analyses
Inform Data-Driven Strategies
Free resources to help health economy stakeholders use our products and data
Health Economy Survival Strategies
Product Guides and Feature Releases
How We Tackle Technical Problems
Data-Driven Benchmarking Tool
Strategic guidance and commentary from our CEO, Hal Andrews
Annual fact-based analysis of trends shaping the health economy
An essential resource to survive healthcare’s negative-sum game
Amid growing evidence of excess mortality and higher acuity being attributed to delays in care during the COVID-19 pandemic, targeted service line-level strategies have never been more important. The level of complexity in our industry is sufficiently challenging without the unpredictability induced by the pandemic, making it impossible to accurately anticipate future needs without probability-based models at a market level. Probability-based predictions of healthcare demand enable more accurate planning of physician staffing, therapeutic distribution, and medical device supply, to name a few.
Across the ten largest CBSAs, growth in surgical demand is forecasted to decline across major service lines (Figure 1), with annual growth rates declining by as much as 30%. Although heart and vascular disease is the leading cause of death in the U.S. and obesity continues to increase, the burden of disease does not always directly correlate future demand for services.
To reinforce the necessity of scenario planning, we calculated the compound annual growth rate across service lines according to the forecasted 25th and 75th percentile probabilities.
Our analysis reveals that the growth rate in cardiovascular surgical demand (e.g., coronary bypass surgery, mitral valve repair) is projected to decline, although more slowly than other major service lines, but growth in cardiovascular medical demand (e.g., electrocardiography, stress tests) is projected to increase or remain flat (Figure 2). The Southwest is projected to have the highest average annual change for both cardiovascular medical (2.0%) and surgical demand growth (2.3%) by 2029. In contrast, the Northeast is projected to have the lowest average annual change for surgical demand growth (1.6%), while the Midwest will see the lowest average annual change for medical demand growth (1.2%) by 2029.
Our analysis clearly demonstrates that projected demand across service lines (e.g., OB/GYN, behavioral health) is not uniform locally, nor nationally. No two health systems, markets, or facilities will experience the same demand curve, despite national growth in disease burden, especially for cardiovascular disease.
The impact of COVID-19 adds significant complexity in developing future care strategies. In examining the indirect impacts of COVID-19, enhanced cardiovascular disease progression due to foregone care remains a top concern. Research has shown that heart disease deaths increased following the COVID-19 pandemic, compared to prior years. Understanding the pandemic’s impact (i.e., growth rate, regional variation) on demand for cardiovascular services in the years ahead is necessary to prevent excess mortality and curb preventable disease progression.
Thanks to Kelly Boyce and Katie Patton for their research support.