2023 Trends Shaping the Health Economy

Key Takeaways

• Cancer mortality is increasing for Americans ages 35-44, while decreasing for older age groups. While national cancer mortality rates have been declining for many years, the variation in rate by age has changed in more recent years.

• As new primary care models continue to scale, national provider supply will become more constrained. Patient panel sizes suggest that the U.S. would need an additional 218K primary care providers to meet the needs of every American under the new entrant primary care model.

• Negotiated rates for a single service delivered at comparable quality, in the same market can vary substantially across payers. Even for a common procedure like screening colonoscopies that is preventive and traditionally delivered in lower-cost outpatient settings, the state-median negotiated rate ranges from $368 to $836, a 2.3X difference.